You hear two things on New Year’s Day: resolutions and predictions. I’ll leave the resolutions up to you. I don’t put a lot of faith in New Year’s predictions, but there are a number of potential 2013 developments I’m watching. Here are a few:
Economy: The US economy is poised to do better than most people expect this year, as long as Washington can stay out of the way (see below). But economic improvement won’t translate to job growth on a similar pace. The divergence between moderate economic recovery and slower employment gains — on display in 2012 — may actually become more pronounced this year. The housing market will continue to be the strongest part of the US economic recovery through the first half of this year.