Two new polls show Elizabeth Warren leading Senator Scott Brown, one by six points and the other by two points, suggesting a possible bump for the Democratic candidate following the two parties’ conventions.
A Springfield Republican poll, taken Sept. 6 through Sept. 13 by the Western New England University Polling Institute, shows Warren leading Brown, a Republican, 50 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. The group polled 444 likely voters and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percent. (The newspaper reported a wider margin of support for Warren, 12 percent, among a slightly larger group of registered voters polled.)
Comments
Each of these polls are Democrat heavy. Of the 444 polled for the Springfield Republican (don't let the name fool you), 163 were Democrats, 61 Republican, the remainder Independent. For the PPP poll, 38% Democrat, 17% Republican. When Scott Brown was leading the PPP poll by 5, of course it was buried on the back pages, Elizabeth Warren gets front page. Can the Boston Globe please just go ahead and endorse the "blood and teeth on the floor" candidate Warren and stop pretending to give it's readers balanced coverage of this race?
That first split (163-61-220) is close to a realistic split of the electorate. This state is loaded with "independents". By the way I didn't see any coverage of these polls in the Herald.
Can anyone ever forget the Globe headline that ran 10 days before Scott Brown's trouncing of Martha ("Marcia") Coakley that proclaimed words to the following effect: "Coakley in comfortable ten-point lead"?
I still think Senator Sidelines will win but a vote for him is STILL a vote for the national Republican party, and there's NO way we'd ever elct Mitch McConnel. Look at Brown's record, it's all style over substance - going after fake veterans? Changing Congressional rules? He's a big zero in this state!
No one believes the Globe regarding polls any more. With reason.
With less than sixty days until the election, the polls will be coming out pretty regularly, so get used to them. I also have to ask the dissenting commenters that if the polls showed Scott Brown ahead, would you still attack the Globe (and the polls themselves) for being biased in favor of Brown? I mean, it really does seem that you are looking for excuses to complain. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Personally, I think the race will be very close. I also think, as I said when Brown was first elected, it's very hard to beat an incumbent. I still believe that, so I do expect six more years of "do-nothing" Brown as one of our senators. It's a great job, and a person can make as little or as much as he/she wants of it. In the Senate today, Brown has become decidedly marginalized; that first fifteen minutes flush of fame has long since subsided, and the other senators pretty much ignore him. He doesn't appear to have the skills of a classic deal-maker, which is what you need to get anything done in D.C.
Do nothing! We are not talking about Fraud Kerry! Get with it...