The Boston Globe

Metro

Markey, Brown in statistical dead heat, poll shows

If former US senator Scott Brown decides to run against US Representative Ed Markey in the special election for Senate, the two would be locked in a statistical tie, a new poll finds.

The Republican Brown would get 48 percent of the vote, while Markey, a Democrat, would get 45 percent of the vote, if the election were held today, according to the poll released by Public Policy Polling. But the gap between the two fell within the survey’s margin of error, plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Comments

Ed has said that his main issues as a Senator would be climate change and equal rights for women and gays. With this agenda, how could he possibly lose in Massachusetts?  

“Scott Brown has a tough choice to make”?  What choice? Conceivably he could run for Senator now and if he loses (or even wins for that matter) then decides to run for governor next year.  He can try both chances, unless his preference is the governorship and does not want to have to resign from Senate to run for governor.

There is no such thing as a statistical tie. Total nonsense, but the media continues to use it in their reporting. See http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2012/10/one-last-encore-great-statistical-tie-fallacy     for a great discussion about probability and why this is a poor use of statistics...

who cares about Markey or the republican sheep in democratic clothes...lynch who has a snowball's chance in hell of beicoming our senator....

I'm begging l'il scotty to run for the senate again. Getting trounced....again, would just about guarantee the end of this poseurs political career. That's a real choice I could look forward to.....the ex, former boy senator in permanent political oblivion.

Replies

Were you abused by Scott when you were a little boy?