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East Boston poll suggests danger for Suffolk Downs casino

A new WBUR poll of East Boston voters suggests a Suffolk Downs casino project is in a precarious position less than one week before voters decide the fate of the proposal.

Forty-six percent of East Boston voters oppose the proposal to add a Las Vegas-style casino to the East Boston racetrack, according to the survey performed Oct. 26-28 by the MassINC Polling Group, according to WBUR.

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Forty-two percent support the project, and 12 percent say they are undecided. The margin of error is 5.6 percent.

Those are dangerous numbers for any casino referendum, since casino questions tend to under-perform their poll numbers when voters actually turn out to cast ballots, experts say.

The poll of 302 likely Eastie voters was conducted days after Suffolk Downs dropped casino partner Caesars Entertainment from the project, after state regulators raised red flags in the casino giant’s background check. Suffolk Downs is seeking a new partner, but may not have time to strike a deal with another company before Tuesday’s vote.

Mark Arsenault can be reached at marsenault@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @bostonglobemark
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