For political prognosticators, their day of reckoning has arrived. Some are gloating about accurate predictions of the presidential election; others are red-faced.
The New York Times’s Nate Silver, a celebrity in the world of predictive modeling, is looking smart. On his blog, FiveThirtyEight (named for the total number of electoral votes), Silver correctly called the winner in 49 states and the District of Columbia. In Florida, the 50th state, President Obama holds a narrow lead over Mitt Romney but has not yet been declared the winner. Silver forecast an Obama win.