You can now read 10 articles in a month for free on Read as much as you want anywhere and anytime for just 99¢.

The Boston Globe


The bettor’s edge

Advice for NFL bettors: Buy into the bye

Gamblers love to rationalize their wagers. If anyone is willing to listen, we’ll talk relentlessly about why we are taking a game or why we are laying off. Sometimes the reasoning is tired; occasionally, it’s grounded in logic.

When gamblers say they like a team because it is “coming off a bye week,” this always seems to make sense. “Coming off a bye week” makes a team sound rested, prepared, and ready to pounce. But does this theory simply sound good, or do teams with extra preparation cover the spread more often than not?

Loading comments...

You have reached the limit of 10 free articles in a month

Stay informed with unlimited access to Boston’s trusted news source.

  • High-quality journalism from the region’s largest newsroom
  • Convenient access across all of your devices
  • Today’s Headlines daily newsletter
  • Subscriber-only access to exclusive offers, events, contests, eBooks, and more
  • Less than 25¢ a week