Poll finds Connolly clinging to narrow lead over Walsh

John Connolly spoke outside City Hall on Wednesday.
David L. Ryan/Globe Staff
John Connolly spoke outside City Hall on Wednesday.

City Councilor John R. Connolly is clinging to a narrow lead in Boston’s race for mayor but state Representative Martin J. Walsh appears to have some momentum, according to a survey released Tuesday by MassINC Polling Group for WBUR-FM.

“It’s very close,” said Steve Koczela, president of the MassINC Polling Group, in an interview on WBUR. “We have John Connolly with 41 percent and Marty Walsh with 39. That is about as close as you can get.”

The survey found 17 percent of likely voters undecided and suggested that the race remained up for grabs less than two weeks before Election Day Nov. 5.


The poll of 503 likely voters was conducted Saturday and Sunday. Live interviewers called people on landlines and cell phones. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

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The result showed a tend in Walsh’s direction when compared to other recent polls. Two weeks ago surveys found that Connolly had a lead of 7 to 8 percentage points. Last week an automated poll found Connolly ahead by 4 percent points. The MassINC survey showed that the gap had narrowed further.

“It does look like momentum right now is in Marty Walsh’s direction,” Koczela said. “But you can never say what the next one might show or what event might take place tomorrow that could turn that around.”

Koczela added, “As we move ahead, the big question is, where do the undecideds go?”

Andrew Ryan can be reached at Follow him on Twitter @globeandrewryan.