scorecardresearch
Dave Epstein

Here’s the forecast for school vacation week

This year, with readings mostly in the 30s, the weather will be good for winter activity, which is what you would expect this time of the year.
This year, with readings mostly in the 30s, the weather will be good for winter activity, which is what you would expect this time of the year.(Craig F. Walker/Globe Staff)

School vacation week began Friday, and the kids will be home all of next week. This can be a daunting prospect especially if the weather doesn’t cooperate. If you’ve decided to travel to Florida, the weather looks absolutely fantastic, with warm conditions and lots of sunshine.

However, if you’re sticking around these parts, temperatures are going to be below average next week, although not excessively so. The past two years have featured a lot of warm weather during school vacation week, with 2017 and 2018 both averaging about 15 degrees above normal. Both of those years also had two days where the temperatures got near or above 70 degrees for many of us. This year, with readings mostly in the 30s, the weather will be good for winter activity, which is what you would expect this time of the year. There are two chances for snow; more on that shortly.

Much of next week features colder-than-average readings but no big storms.
Much of next week features colder-than-average readings but no big storms. (WeatherBell)

Though we haven’t seen much snow in southern New England, there’s been plenty of snow up north, and the skiing is fantastic. The best time to hit the slopes will be the first part of each day after the grooming takes place; the afternoons tend to be a little bit sketchier.

Advertisement



Snowfall has been above average in much of northern New England this season.
Snowfall has been above average in much of northern New England this season. (NRCC)

Saturday and Sunday feature dry weather with plenty of sunshine as a storm system passes well to the south of New England. It will become colder early next week as a northwesterly flow of air continues. Temperatures will be 3 to 5 degrees below average.

So what about any snow for this upcoming week? Monday brings a weak low-pressure area up from the south and then passes off our southern coast. If it comes close enough, we could see some light snow, but it’s also possible it just stays far enough away to bring no precipitation.

Two areas of low pressure with rain and snow come close to New England next week. (Tropical Tidbits)

Behind the system, the weather turns pretty chilly for Tuesday and Wednesday. Another storm system threatens Wednesday night and Thursday, with once again the chance for snow or perhaps snow changing to rain. Neither of these systems looks to be very important.

Advertisement



Temperatures across Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont next week will remain below freezing, and therefore winter activities will not see much degradation from melting.

February is a short month, and March is quickly approaching. Winters tend to have a feeling about them, and we’ve all experienced those winters where it seems like it just won’t stop snowing. This winter seems like it just won’t start. Anything can happen in the next four to six weeks, but the pattern just does not seem to be conducive for any prolonged snow or prolonged cold, so those of you that really wanted a blockbuster winter are going to have to start thinking about the next one.


Follow Dave Epstein on Twitter @growingwisdom.