1. Orb: This race sets up better for him than the Kentucky Derby did. The fast pace in the Derby was surprising; it’s almost guaranteed here. Historically, Orb is not that fast, but it won’t matter. The trainer, one of the best of all time, has him ready.
2. Goldencents: Expect a big rebound after he got caught up in the sizzling pace of the Derby. The jockey stopped urging him in the last quarter-mile. The shorter distance should help, but he must stay off the lead.
3. Itsmyluckyday: He never really showed up in the Derby, and he’s better than that. If he runs back to some of his winter races in Florida, he could even win.
Joe Sullivan can be reached at email@example.com.