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the bettor’s edge

Go with Titans, Steelers, Falcons, and Ravens

Now I know how the Jacksonville Jaguars feel.

I went winless last weekend. The Vikings couldn’t cover against the Packers despite a big head start, and both the Seahawks and Chiefs won, but not by enough.

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Nothing the Jaguars (1-7 against the spread, the only cover coming against Denver) have done this season has been enough, but at least they get a bye this weekend to try to figure things out. No such luck is afforded the Bettor’s Edge, but we have plenty of time to reverse course, beginning on Sunday.

This week’s picks (home team in caps):

Tennessee (-3) at ST. LOUIS: The Titans were 3-0-1 against the spread in games started by Jake Locker before the quarterback got hurt in Week 4 against the Jets, but Tennessee was pounded, 31-17, in his return two weeks ago. The Titans then had a bye week to prepare for St. Louis, which gave everything it had in a divisional home loss to the Seahawks Monday night. The Rams are down to their backup quarterback and most likely their backup running back, further hampering an already weak offense. Risking $110 to win $100.

Pittsburgh (+6½) over NEW ENGLAND: The Steelers were a mess early but have recently rebounded, particularly on defense. They have allowed 14.3 points per game (and just two passing touchdowns) in the last three weeks and now face a Patriots offense that has well-documented issues. Pittsburgh will attempt to use the clock to its advantage, and a successful execution of that strategy will keep this game close. Risking $110 to win $100.

Atlanta (+7½) over CAROLINA: Combine the Falcons’ struggles and three straight Panther wins (not exactly against the iron of the league — the Vikings, Rams, and Bucs) and you end up with an inflated spread. The number suggests the Falcons have quit but they haven’t, particularly in a divisional game. Risking $110 to win $100.

Baltimore (-2½) over CLEVELAND: The Browns had some momentum early on, but it has evaporated. Baltimore is not a title contender, but a win keeps the Ravens in playoff contention, and that should happen convincingly against a Cleveland group that has lost three straight and will nosedive the rest of the season. Risking $110 to win $100.

Last week: 0-3, minus $495. Season: 12-16-1, minus $850.

Ed Ryan can be reached at ed_ryan@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @EdzoRyan
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