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    Handicapping the Belmont Stakes

    California Chrome goes for the Triple Crown in Saturday’s Belmont Stakes, but can he handle the mile and a half? This is where his breeding may come back to haunt him.

    1Medal CountRobby AlbaradoDale Romans20-1
    Probably a grass horse but is working well; could be valuable long shot in exotics.
    2California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman3-5
    Speed figure improved in Preakness; still doubt he’ll get distance; jockey is 3 for 68 at Belmont
    3Matterhorn Joe BravoTodd Pletcher 30-1
    Has only one career victory; owners must want good seats.
    4Commanding CurveShaun BridgmohanDallas Stewart15-1
    A plodding late-runner who passed tired horses to finish second in Kentucky.
    5Ride On CurlinJohn VelazquezBilly Gowan12-1
    Made huge improvement to finish second in Preakness; late runners don’t usually win Belmont
    6MatuszakMike SmithBill Mott 30-1
    A winner of only one career race; bred to be great but has never proven it; highly doubtful
    7SamraatJose OrtizRick Violette20-1
    Interesting New York-bred; won first five, was second in Wood; didn’t run horribly in Derby.
    8CommissionerJavier CastellanoTodd Pletcher20-1
    He hasn’t won a race since Jan. 4 but did have decent second in last (Peter Pan at Belmont).
    9Wicked StrongRajiv MaraghJimmy Jerkins6-1
    After traffic trouble in Derby, still finished fourth; is working great; a big threat.
    10General a RodRosie NapravnikMike Maker20-1
    His speed figures and results don’t foretell an upset victory.
    11TonalistJoel RosarioChristophe Clement8-1
    Might have sore feet, but otherwise is in position for huge effort following win in Peter Pan

    Selections: 1. Tonalist; 2. Wicked Strong; 3. Medal Count.

    More coverage:

    Why the third time is rarely the charm


    Which horses could upset California Chrome in Belmont?

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    Wicked Strong may have healthy shot in Belmont

    California Chrome made 3-5 favorite in Belmont

    How does a horse’s equipment help it race?

    Joe Sullivan can be reached at Follow him on Twitter at @globesullivan