Joe Sullivan

Handicapping the 2015 Belmont Stakes

An exercise rider takes Mubtaahij around the track during a workout at Belmont Park, Wednesday, June 3, 2015, in Elmont, N.Y. Mubtaahij is expected to run in Saturday's 147th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, when American Pharoah will try for a Triple Crown. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)
Mubtaahij opened at 10-1 odds for the Belmont Stakes.

A closer look at the 2015 Belmont Stakes field
Post time: 6:50 p.m. (NBC). Weight: 126 pounds. Distance: 1 1/2 miles. Purse: $1.5 million. First place: $800,000. Second place: $280,000. Third place: $150,000. Fourth place: $100,000. Fifth place: $60,000
Post Horse Trainer Jockey Odds Comment
1 Mubtaahij Mike de Kock Irad Ortiz 10-1 Finished eighth in the Derby; kind of just galloped around, never really accelerating. He's been stabled at Belmont for a month, working steadily but not quickly. Bred to get the mile and half.
2 Tale of Verve Dallas Stewart Gary Stevens 15-1 The second-place finish in the Preakness should be ignored. He won't hit the board in this race.
3 Madefromlucky Todd Pletcher Javier Castellano 12-1 Futilely chased American Pharoah in the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby, but then won the Peter Pan at Belmont, so he can't be dismissed.
4 Frammento Nick Zito Mike Smith 30-1 Only one lifetime win and has to have a fast pace, and it's doubtful he'll get it.
5 American Pharoah Bob Baffert Victor Espinoza 3-5 The concern with a Derby and Preakness winner is weariness. Pharoah has gained weight and has had two sensational workouts. He has the look of a Triple Crown winner
6 Frosted Kiaran McLaughlin Joel Rosario 5-1 The biggest threat to a Triple Crown. He finished fourth in the Derby, but ran the fastest final quarter mile. He's fresh and has been working well.
7 Keen Ice Dale Romans Kent Desormeaux 20-1 Has won only one race, but is a live long shot. Certainly a horse worth using in exactas and trifectas.
8 Materiality Todd Pletcher John Velazquez 6-1 Never had a chance after missing the break in the Derby and the speed figure guys still obsess over his Florida Derby victory. Very dangerous.

PREDICTION: 1. American Pharoah; 2. Frosted; 3. Mubtaahij

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