THE BETTOR’S EDGE
The following contains professional football information unrelated to suspensions, sideline explosions, or contract extensions:
After beginning the season with a 2-4 record against the spread, New England has rewarded its backers with six consecutive covers.
The Vikings are also hot, having covered in seven straight.
Tampa Bay is 0-3 against the spread in its division, the NFC South. The Bucs host Detroit this weekend, and then finish against all three divisional rivals: Atlanta, Carolina, and New Orleans.
Tennessee was playing out the string against the Texans with less than a minute to play and a 17-13 lead during Week 13.
Then, on third and 5 from the Titans’ 25, either disaster struck or a miracle occurred; it depends on your perspective.
Tennessee’s Derrick Henry broke free for an improbable 75-yard scoring run with 57 seconds remaining, pushing the Titans to a 24-13 win and a cover against the 6½-point spread. Seconds earlier, Houston seemingly had a lock on that cover.
After a nearly two-month stretch during which favorites came in at a 63 percent clip, they finally dipped during Week 13, going 7-9 against the spread.
Cleveland’s cover against San Diego (the Browns were getting nearly two touchdowns in a 19-10 loss) left Denver alone in last place as the NFL’s worst team against the spread. The Broncos have a 2-9-1 mark versus the number.
This week’s picks (home team in caps):
KANSAS CITY (-4) over Oakland: While watching the Raiders-Giants game during Week 13, I promised myself I would bet against Oakland this weekend, no matter the circumstances. I deliver on my promises. Risking $110 to win $100.
Baltimore (+5) over PITTSBURGH: The Ravens haven’t allowed more than 20 points during the last month. Let’s say they maintain that defensive effort against the Steelers. Offensively, Baltimore can’t score 16? Risking $110 to win $100.
Dallas (-3½) over NEW YORK GIANTS: The Cowboys need wins, and it doesn’t get more winnable than a game against the Giants. New York will go away when things begin to get out of hand. Risking $55 to win $50.
JACKSONVILLE (-2½) over Seattle: Hopefully this line settles lower, as money is flowing to Seattle (per Sportsinsights.com, 78 percent of the bets in this matchup have been made on the Seahawks). Either way, I like the Jaguars to make a statement at home. Risking $110 to win $100.
Philadelphia (+2) over LA RAMS: It’s Week 14 and a good team is getting points. It truly is the season of giving. Risking $110 to win $100.
Last week: 2-2, minus $20. Season: 27-31-1, minus $595.
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