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THE BETTOR’S EDGE

Jets get a course correction, but it won’t fly here

The Jets went on the road and destroyed the Lions, 48-17, Monday night.
The Jets went on the road and destroyed the Lions, 48-17, Monday night.(rick osentoski/AP)

Last week, I took a deep breath and picked, among others, the Browns, Jets, and Bears. All three covered the point spread and I had a strong week.

These 2017 laughingstocks are proof that early-season lines can be deceiving, particularly when seemingly bad teams are installed as inflated underdogs. The Jets, in particular, are in line for a correction. New York was getting 6½ points at Detroit Monday night and crushed the Lions. Now it’s Week 2 and the Jets are 3-point favorites at home against division rival Miami.

Gambling corrections move in both directions. Detroit was nearly a touchdown favorite over the Jets, got destroyed at home by a team starting a rookie quarterback (Sam Darnold) in prime time, and is now catching 6 points at San Francisco, a team that no one is ready to call “good.” Are the Lions that bad? Are the Jets that good?

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We’ll know soon enough, but for now we need to keep wiping out the oddsmakers while they scramble to adjust.

This week’s picks (home team in caps):

Miami (+3) over NY JETS: Last week I couldn’t figure out why the Lions were such big favorites over the Jets, and this week — despite New York thumping Detroit — I think it’s a bit premature to install the Jets as a field goal favorite over a similarly talented division rival. Expect a slugfest within the number as one of these squads attempts to begin the season 2-0. Risking $110 to win $100.

New England (even) over JACKSONVILLE: The Patriots have an obvious advantage at quarterback and on the sidelines. Additionally, does it ever end well for a New England opponent when one of its players taunts the Patriots through the media? I thought Tom Coughlin was running things in Jacksonville. I’m far from a New England homer, but does anyone really expect Jaguars cornerback Jalen Ramsey to have the last laugh? Risking $110 to win $100.

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NY Giants (+3) over DALLAS: In the golden age of quarterbacking, Dallas made the astute decision of building a team around a running back. The bill for such incompetence will be paid in full this season. Risking $165 to win $150.

LA RAMS (-13) over Arizona: The Cardinals fan base has a lot to look forward to in 2018. Their team’s offense emerged from an entire offseason and splurged at home, producing one garbage-time touchdown. Now they’re heading to LA to face a team with Super Bowl aspirations. This has “laugher” written all over it. Risking $110 to win $100.

Last week: 5-1, plus $340.


Ed Ryan can be reached at edward.ryaniii@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @EdzoRyan.