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Greece fails to form new government, calls new elections

Increasing chance of dropping euro shakes Europe

‘The Greek people, after the May 6 elections, have declared the bailout null and void,’ Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras said. AFP

ATHENS - The threat of a full economic collapse in Greece escalated Tuesday after warring political factions failed to forge a new government, triggering fresh elections and heightening chances that this rudderless Mediterranean nation could be forced to abandon the euro.

The political chaos was raising the stakes across Europe, with a showdown now looming between Greece and eurozone leaders led by Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel, who have demanded tough belt-tightening from Athens in return for its massive international bailout.

Underscoring rising fears of a messy breakup of the region’s currency union, the euro fell Tuesday while worried investors again drove borrowing costs precariously high for far larger Italy and Spain. If Greece were to exit the euro zone, the fallout could send those costs to unsustainable levels, raising the likelihood of even more massive bailouts to prevent a further rupture of the eurozone.

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The fear intensified as Greece, where Europe’s debt crisis began 2 1/2 years ago, appeared closer to a moment of truth. The nation’s May 6 elections pummeled political parties that approved the rescue deal, and after 10 days of wrangling, leaders failed Tuesday to forge a unity government that would have worked to forestall collapse and keep Greece in the eurozone.

Instead, a nation in danger of running out of cash to operate the government, and where fearful residents in recent days have been rapidly withdrawing more of their savings from Greek banks, faces uncertain new elections in June. Opinion surveys have shown that Syriza, a party that wants to break the terms of Greece’s bailout deal and that came in a surprise second in the vote, is polling in first place.

“The Greek people, after the May 6 elections, have declared the bailout null and void,’’ Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras said after the collapse of talks Tuesday. “We have made the decision not to betray people’s expectations.’’

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The Greeks are riding a wave of resentment across Europe against the austerity prescribed as the cure for the crisis, with French voters electing Francois Hollande as the first Socialist president there in 17 years. Governments have dramatically cut spending in Greece and other countries that belong to the eurozone - including Spain, Italy, and Ireland - to try to restore investor confidence in nations that drastically overborrowed and overspent during the past decade. But economists increasingly say that the cure is killing the patient, with cuts coming too fast, too soon, running the region’s economies into the ground.

Analysts in Athens, however, say it is unclear how Greek voters will lean in the coming weeks. Polls show Greeks overwhelmingly favor keeping the shared currency. But the rigid austerity demanded by Greece’s bailout from the EU and International Monetary Fund has sent unemployment soaring to 24 percent and thrown the economy into a brutal, multiyear recession with no end in sight. Effectively, Greek voters want the euro but not the tough terms of the bailout.

Yet as pressure mounts on Greece to largely abide by the rescue terms or risk ejection from the eurozone, some observers suggest voters could shift back toward the parties that support the bailout. But even those parties, including New Democracy, which came in first on May 6 but fell two seats short of being able to cobble together a working coalition, want to at least renegotiate some of the strictest terms of the agreement.

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For Greece, adoption of the euro became a great stabilizing force after years of the topsy-turvy drachma, offering a decade of borrowing rates nearly on par with those of the giant of Europe, Germany.

In the long run, most Greeks still think that remaining in the eurozone gives them a chance at monetary stability and at remaining a key part of the vision for an ever-more-integrated Europe. A return to the drachma - though it could make Greek products more globally competitive in the long term - would at least initially cause a deep devaluation that could harm living standards even more, with high inflation and interest rates.

Warning residents of the tough choice ahead, New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras said Tuesday that “this is the most critical time for the country since the restoration of democracy. Greece is being isolated.’’

European officials, led by the Germans, have threatened to pull the plug on Greek’s rescue funds if the nation doesn’t accept deeper cuts. If the spigots of aid are closed, analysts say, Greece could begin to run out of cash by late June or early July.